Commodity markets are attractive to speculators as they are susceptible to dramatic changes in supply and demand.
Commodity markets are attractive to speculators as they are susceptible to dramatic changes in supply and demand.
Commodities cover energy, agriculture and metals products. These products are traded in futures markets and derive their value from demand and supply characteristics.
Supply characteristics include the weather in the case of agriculture and costs of extraction in the case of mining and energies.
Demand for commodities tends to be characterised by broader conditions such as economic cycles and population growth. Commodities can be traded as stand alone products or in pairs.
Metals and energies are traded against major currencies whereas agriculture futures contracts are traded as stand-alone contracts.
Wheat_N7 is currently trading at 434.00/435.25 and you are expecting Australia’s East Coast crops to be affected by adverse weather patterns over the coming year which will result in lower than average crop yields.
You buy 100 contracts of Wheat (4 bushels per contract) at 435.25 which equals USD $174,100 (435.25 * 100 * 4).(4 bushels per contract) at 435.25 which equals USD $174,100 (435.25 * 100 * 4).
Your research surrounding weather conditions turns out to be correct. Lower crop yields this year have caused Wheat prices to increase to 460.00/462.15. You exit your position by selling your contracts at 460.
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